Supply Chain Stress Testing GeoPol_Active_v4
Simulate global material shortages, geopolitical shocks, and macro events against active ERP schedules.
Scenario Builder
EXECUTING MULTI-VARIABLE MONTE CARLO...
MACRO_SUPPLY_THREAT_MAP
TRACKING: 4,201 ACTIVE POs
Schedule At Risk
+0d
Baseline
Est. Financial Exposure
$0
Baseline
Projects Impacted
0
/ 42 Active
Exposure & Mitigation Ledger
Baseline
Stress
| Project / Tract | Critical Vulnerability | Schedule Impact Vector | AI Recommendation (Actionable) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ready. Awaiting simulation parameters... | |||
|
404 DTLA Highrise
Vol: $140M | Stage: Rough-in
|
PO-9912
(Steel) Stuck at Origin Port |
BASE
+90d DELAY
|
|
|
Tract 88 - Santa Monica
Vol: $45M | Stage: Foundation
|
PO-9940
(Rebar) Inbound Transit Blocked |
BASE
+21d DELAY
|
|
|
Palisades Lot 4
Vol: $8M | Stage: Finishes
|
All
Materials Procured & On-Site |
BASE
|
No Critical Impact |
Workforce Capacity Forecasting
AI_Allocation_v2Total
Demand (12 Wk)
42,500
hrs
Subcontractor Capacity
45,100
hrs
Projected
Deficit
1,240
hrs
Concentrated Wk 7-9
At-Risk
Margin
$1.2M
Due to projected OT & Delays
Aggregated Labor Curve (All Trades)
Trailing 4 Wks + 12 Wk Forecast
Demand
Max Cap
5k2.5k0
Wk-4TODAYWk+6Wk+12
3,100h
PEAK BOTTLENECK
DEFICIT ZONE
Subcontractor Fatigue Index
AI analysis of schedule variance vs. man-hour commitments.
Apex Framing Corp
HIGH RISK
Committed: 120% of
trailing 6mo avg.
Pacific Concrete
WATCH
Committed: 95% of
trailing 6mo avg.
Volt Electric
NOMINAL
Committed: 60% of
trailing 6mo avg.
Schedule Shock Simulator
RECALCULATING CRITICAL PATHS...
Scenario Impact Matrix
Baseline
Post-Shock
Configure parameters and inject shock to view impact.
Projected Delays Across Portfolio
+22 Days (Avg)
Framing Labor Deficit (Wk 4-8)
-840 Man-Hours
> AI_ANALYSIS_COMPLETE
[ALERT] Weather compression causes Tract
A and Tract B framing phases to overlap completely in Week 6.
[WARN] Apex Framing lacks capacity to
service concurrent demand without 40h/wk overtime.
> Generating Re-Allocation Protocol to
mitigate. Switch to "AI Re-Allocation" tab to view actionable steps.
AI Labor Optimization Protocol
Algorithmic schedule smoothing to prevent critical path breaches.
| Subcontractor / Crew | Current Assignment | Projected Bottleneck Risk | AI Recommendation (Action) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Run forecast to generate allocation protocol... | |||
|
Apex Framing (Crew A)
Cap: 160h/wk | Var:
Overbooked
|
Tract 88 (Santa Monica)
Schedule Float: 14d
|
DTLA Highrise
Critical Path Breach Wk+6
|
Protects $12k/day delay damage.
|
|
Pacific Concrete (Crew
1)
Cap: 80h/wk | Var: Nominal
|
Palisades Lot 4
|
Palisades Lot 4
Weather delay requires OT Wk+7
|
Cheaper than remobilizing.
|
|
Volt Electrical
Cap: 200h/wk | Var:
Underutilized
|
Unassigned (Wk+8)
|
None
|
Start rough-in early on Tract B.
|
Module Locked
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